🔥 1. Performance Recap (Last Week)

The Lab closed 6 trades last week — 6 wins, 0 losses, delivering +6.70R net.

Trade ID

Pair

System

Direction

Status

Result

Notes

chr-007

SUI

SML1

Long

🟢 WIN

+2.36R

TP1–TP3 hit cleanly

cpt-002

XRP

SML1

Short

🟢 WIN

+0.71R

Controlled unwind, exit at structure

cpt-003

ADA

SML1

Long

🟢 WIN

+0.55R

Mean reversion bounce worked

chr-008

HYPE

SML2

Long

🟢 WIN

+0.76R

Strong S/R reaction follow-through

chr-009

OP

SML3

Long

🟢 WIN

+1.77R

Breakout/continuation validated

cpt-005

BigTime

SML1

Short

🟢 WIN

+0.53R

TP cluster hit during unwind

  • 100% win rate

  • Best trade: SUI (chr-007) +2.36R

  • All systems contributed (SML1, SML2, SML3)

  • No invalidations, no SL hits, no forced exits

This week’s Playbook starts from a position of strength and clarity.

📉 2. Market Structure (Quick Overview)

BTC is now exactly at the resistance zone we highlighted last week (92–93k).
The bounce from demand played out perfectly — but continuation is not confirmed.

Key points:

  • Price hit HTF resistance

  • EMA50-Weekly acting as overhead pressure

  • Derivatives neutralizing → no strong momentum

  • Liquidity below still present (80k shelf)

Short-term sentiment:
Stabilized → Neutral → Reaction-driven

BTC Outlook
BTC remains in a sideways-to-bearish macro posture below the weekly EMA50, and while there are early signs that a broader bullish trend could resume, we believe this can only be validated after a clean consolidation and a confirmed reclaim of higher time-frame resistance.

📊 3. Derivatives & Liquidity Snapshot

Funding: Neutral → Slight negative (healthy, no long chasing)
Open Interest: Flattening under resistance (needs expansion for breakout)
Premium: Recovering from negative (fear unwinding)
Liquidations:

  • Heatmap cleaned up above

  • Small pocket remains around 78–80k

  • 30-day map now balanced

Interpretation:
The bounce phase is done → BTC is waiting for a trigger.

🎯 4. Watchlist (Free Version)

Below is the trimmed public version.
Full breakdown (levels, bias, setups, triggers) is inside The Lab Premium.

BTC

Bias: Neutral → Slightly bearish unless 93k breaks.

We’re watching:

  • Reaction at 92–93k

  • Fresh OI expansion (or lack thereof)

  • Premium flipping positive

  • EMA50W behavior (resistance at ~100k?)

BTC needs confirmation and a breakout early during the week — otherwise a sweep toward 86–84k is possible.

ETH

Bias: Neutral

ETH performed exactly as forecast: bounce → resistance → stall.
It mirrors BTC but remains weaker in momentum.

Watching:

  • Daily EMA50 retest

  • 3,044–3,100 resistance

  • Potential retrace back to 2,739

UNI & TRX (Recap)

  • UNI: Continued to move sideways inside the accumulation range — just as expected. Structure intact.

  • TRX: Followed last week’s call perfectly, pushing straight into resistance after publication.

Both remain on the continuation watchlist once BTC’s direction is clearer.

🟧 BAT — Showing Strong Breakout Momentum

BAT continues to show one of the cleaner breakout structures among altcoins this week. Price pushed strongly off support and is now trending with clear relative strength against BTC. We’re watching how BAT behaves on any pullback toward the key support zones created during the breakout.
Full breakdown, system alignment, and actionable levels are inside The Lab Premium.

💡 5. Key Takeaways This Week

  • BTC bounce complete → now a resistance-driven environment

  • ETH trapped below resistance

  • Derivatives neutral, waiting for direction

  • Alts showing selective strength (BAT leading)

  • Major decision area approaching for BTC

🧪 6. What The Lab Is Focusing On

  • SML2 reactions at resistance

  • Waiting for SML3 breakout confirmation

  • Avoiding chop

  • Letting price choose direction before sizing up

  • Monitoring altcoin outliers for rotations

Full system bias, setups, and levels → inside Premium.

🔒 Want the Full Playbook?

The free digest is the high-level outlook.

Inside The Lab Premium you get:
✓ Full Weekly Playbook
✓ Detailed setups (entries, SL, TP logic)
✓ System bias (SML1 / SML2 / SML3)
✓ Trader breakdown
✓ BTC, ETH, and altcoin charts
✓ Weekly stats & R-based transparency
✓ Real-time trades via The Lab Bot

⚠️ Disclaimer

This newsletter is for informational and educational purposes only. We have positions in the assets discussed here. It does not constitute financial advice, trading advice, or investment recommendations. Any market commentary, analysis, charts, or outlooks reflect our personal opinions and are not guarantees of future performance.

Cryptocurrency trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making trading decisions. The Lab, its contributors, and its systems (SML1/SML2/SML3) do not take responsibility for losses incurred from trades based on this content.

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