🧪THE LAB - WEEKLY MARKET DIGEST (23)

Markets are not behaving how most expected.

Stocks are pushing back toward highs,
while just weeks ago the dominant narrative was downside (oil, geopolitics, etc.).

That shift matters.

We’re not in a clean trend environment -
we’re in a reaction-driven market.

This digest stays focused on short-term structure and opportunities.
Macro + broader views → shared on X.

The Lab – Performance Summary

Strong week. Consistent execution.

Bitcoin is back at a key level (~79–80k).

We’re effectively sitting at resistance again (and currently it looks like rejection).

What happens here matters.

Breakout (20% likelihood)
→ move above resistance
→ hold on retest
→ continuation higher

Rejection (80% likelihood)
→ move lower first
→ take out liquidity
→ then recover

Both paths are valid right now.

Positioning is increasing, but:

This is not a clean breakout environment yet.

We’re at a decision point.

Not the place to force trades.

Wait for confirmation -
either on a breakout, or after a move lower.

This week we’re shifting focus toward longer-term setups.

ZEC broke out and is holding above prior structure.

As long as that holds:

→ continuation higher is likely
→ next major reference: higher timeframe resistance (incl. 200 EMA)

If it loses structure → move back into range.

INJ has fully reset after a long downtrend.

Now:

→ forming a base
→ attempting early breakout

This is typical early-cycle positioning.

👉 Full watchlist, levels, and execution plans are inside The Lab.

BTC is compressing at resistance again.

That usually leads to a move.

Either:

Both can lead higher.

What matters is how price reacts - not guessing direction early.

Positioning is increasing, but:

This is not a clean breakout environment yet.

This newsletter is for informational and educational purposes only. We have positions in the assets discussed here. It does not constitute financial advice, trading advice, or investment recommendations. Any market commentary, analysis, charts, or outlooks reflect our personal opinions and are not guarantees of future performance.

Cryptocurrency trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making trading decisions. The Lab, its contributors, and its systems (SML1/SML2/SML3) do not take responsibility for losses incurred from trades based on this content.

Core Systems

Traders

🧮 How We Measure Performance at The Lab

All performance is tracked using R-based results, a professional risk-adjusted metric used by systematic traders.

Why this matters:

Our weekly and monthly stats reflect the net sum of R across all closed trades.
This ensures the results remain objective, consistent, and comparable across all market conditions.