🔎 Quick Note

Another week, another round of headlines.

The Iran conflict briefly pushed markets lower over the weekend, but BTC recovered quickly once again. The news cycle continues to change by the day, while the chart itself remains largely on track.

For now, we're still treating this as a bottoming process inside a larger range.

📊 Performance

Period

Trades

Wins

Losses

Win Rate

Net Result

Last 7 Days

3

2

1

66.7%

+2.34R

Last 300 Days

222

147

70

66.2%

+173.08R

A solid week overall. Trade activity remained light, but execution stayed consistent.

₿ Bitcoin

BTC continues to recover from the 59k-61k support zone.

The reaction has been constructive so far and buyers continue to defend the area we have been watching for months.

The next resistance sits at:

→ 66k - 67k

Above that:

→ 73k - 74k

The short-term momentum has improved, but we're approaching resistance and would not be surprised to see another period of chop develop.

For now, the larger range remains intact.

📊 Bigger Picture

The Wyckoff accumulation thesis remains our preferred roadmap.

The market has spent several months building a base after the February selloff, and the recent return to support fits well within that structure.

Could we still see one final sweep lower before a larger recovery begins?

Absolutely.

Nothing has changed there.

The weekly RSI also continues to support the idea that BTC is much further along in the bottoming process than many believe.

🔎 Watchlist

INJ

INJ remains on the watchlist.

Price continues to consolidate above the 61.8% retracement level following the recent rally.

The structure still looks more like reaccumulation than distribution.

For support zones, entries and trade plans, see The Lab.

More Tickers Inside The Lab Premium

One setup on our watchlist is showing improving momentum after developing a bullish divergence near support.

Another continues to build inside a larger accumulation structure and remains one of our preferred charts if market conditions improve.

Full watchlist, levels and execution plans are available inside The Lab Premium.

🧪 Lab Note Of The Week

The headlines remain noisy, but price is starting to tell a different story.

BTC absorbed another round of bad news, held support, and bounced.

Now we watch resistance.

If buyers can continue to reclaim levels, the picture improves quickly. Until then, we still view this as a large range with plenty of chop ahead.

🔒 Want the Full Playbook

The free digest is the high-level outlook.

Inside The Lab Premium you get:
✓ Full Weekly Playbook
✓ Detailed setups (entries, SL, TP logic)
✓ System bias (SML1 / SML2 / SML3)
✓ Trader breakdown
✓ BTC, ETH, and altcoin charts
✓ Weekly stats & R-based transparency
✓ Real-time trades via The Lab Bot

⚠️ Disclaimer

This newsletter is for informational and educational purposes only. We have positions in the assets discussed here. It does not constitute financial advice, trading advice, or investment recommendations. Any market commentary, analysis, charts, or outlooks reflect our personal opinions and are not guarantees of future performance.

Cryptocurrency trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making trading decisions. The Lab, its contributors, and its systems (SML1/SML2/SML3) do not take responsibility for losses incurred from trades based on this content.

📚 Appendix - About The Lab

Core Systems

  • SML1: Mean reversion & volatility extremes

  • SML2: Support / resistance reactions

  • SML3: Breakouts & trend transitions

Traders

  • Chris (Stockmoney Lizards): Macro & structure

  • Cryptex Guy: Fibonacci precision

  • Bitcoin Wizard: Sentiment & psychology

🧮 How We Measure Performance at The Lab

All performance is tracked using R-based results, a professional risk-adjusted metric used by systematic traders.

  • 1R = 1 unit of risk, defined by the distance between entry and stop-loss.

  • A trade that returns +2R means it earned 2× the initial risk.

  • A trade that returns –1R means the full risk unit was lost.

Why this matters:

  • It normalizes all trades, regardless of position size or asset.

  • It prevents emotional interpretation of wins/losses.

  • It shows true system performance over time.

  • It allows us to compare trades and weeks on the same scale.

Our weekly and monthly stats reflect the net sum of R across all closed trades.
This ensures the results remain objective, consistent, and comparable across all market conditions.

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